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In many states, droughts are projected to become more severe and widespread, causing major economic and environmental impacts. Our analysis evaluates each state's changing summer drought threat based on the severity of widespread summer drought using soil moisture data.

Key Findings

  • By 2050, nine states — Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Texas, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Washington — are projected to face a greater summer drought threat than the most at risk state, Texas, does today.

  • Fifteen of the 36 states analyzed are projected to see their summer drought threat more than double.

  • Washington shows the largest projected increase by 2050, where the threat level is projected to increase four-fold.

Threat/Action Plot